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Kenya: MPs extend fuel VAT relief as oil prices rise

Kenya has extended the reduced 8% VAT rate on petrol, diesel and kerosene for another 90 days as international oil prices push up domestic pump prices. The measure offers temporary relief to consumers but could cost the government billions in lost revenue.

Shell petrol station
Shell petrol station. Photo: Deposit photo

Kenya fuel VAT relief has been extended for another 90 days as rising international oil prices push up domestic pump prices. The measure offers consumers temporary support but reduces government revenue.

Kenya has extended reduced value-added tax (VAT) on petroleum products as international oil-price pressures feed through to domestic fuel prices. The measure offers temporary relief to consumers but adds to the government’s revenue burden.

The National Assembly passed the Tax Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026, on 14 October. The Bill retains VAT on petrol, diesel and kerosene at 8%, below the standard 16% rate, for another 90 days. It also allows the National Treasury Cabinet Secretary to extend the reduced rate for a further 90 days if necessary, according to the National Assembly.

KBC reported that President William Ruto signed the measure into law on 16 October. The extension followed the expiry of the previous relief period in mid-October, amid continued pressure on global oil supplies.

Fuel VAT relief comes at a fiscal cost

The reduced VAT rate aims to cushion households and businesses against higher fuel prices. These increases can also affect transport, production and the cost of living.

However, the relief comes at a significant cost to public finances. Kimani Kuria, chair of the National Assembly’s Finance and National Planning Committee, said the government had forgone approximately KSh54 billion in revenue over the preceding six months, according to the National Assembly’s account of the Bill’s passage.

The Daily Nation reported that the government could forgo a further KSh27 billion over the next three months. That would bring the estimated revenue cost to KSh81 billion by the end of the extension. The additional figure remains a reported projection, not a confirmed final revenue loss.

The decision highlights a policy trade-off. A lower tax rate can limit the immediate impact of fuel costs on consumers. However, it also reduces the revenue available to fund public spending.

Pump prices rise despite reduced VAT

The VAT extension has not stopped pump prices from rising. In its October review, the Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (EPRA) raised Nairobi’s maximum retail price for super petrol by KSh12.93 per litre. Diesel rose by KSh9.90 and kerosene by KSh28.49.

EPRA set the maximum retail prices in Nairobi at KSh226.96 per litre for super petrol, KSh227.76 for diesel and KSh219.87 for kerosene. These prices applied from 15 October to 14 November 2026. The revised prices and monthly fuel-price reviews appear on EPRA’s official pump-prices page.

The increases coincided with higher landed costs for imported petroleum products. EPRA’s October review recorded an 11.81% rise in the average landed cost of imported super petrol between August and September. Diesel costs rose by 11.32%, while kerosene costs increased by 9.41%.

Kenya imports refined petroleum products, leaving domestic prices exposed to international market movements and import costs. The reduced VAT rate can moderate the tax component of pump prices. However, it cannot fully offset higher import costs.

Implications for businesses and energy costs

Higher diesel prices affect more than transport. Freight operators, agricultural producers and industrial businesses face higher operating costs when fuel becomes more expensive. Fuel-price volatility can also affect electricity costs through the fuel and foreign-exchange adjustments reflected in Kenya’s electricity tariffs. Businesses that rely on diesel generators for backup power may also face higher energy expenses.

For renewable-energy developers and investors, the impact is more nuanced. Higher conventional fuel prices can strengthen the economic case for alternatives, including solar-plus-storage systems that displace diesel generation. Kenya’s expanding geothermal sector also contributes to the country’s domestic energy mix. Read more about Kenya’s geothermal capacity topping 1 GW. However, the effect on renewable-energy investments depends on project costs, financing, electricity tariffs and the availability of reliable grid power.

The extended VAT relief offers households and businesses a temporary buffer. However, it does not remove Kenya’s exposure to global petroleum-price volatility. The fiscal cost also raises questions about how long the government can maintain the reduced rate if international prices remain high.

Businesses must therefore plan for fuel-price volatility and consider the possibility that the government could extend the tax relief again or allow it to expire.

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About Author / Nura Barrow

Nura Barrow is a multilingual journalist, editor and communications specialist with over seven years of experience in digital journalism, research and reporting on the Horn of Africa and wider sub-Saharan Africa. She has worked with BBC Monitoring since 2019, specialising in political, security and regional developments, with expertise in monitoring, translating and analysing local-language sources. Her experience also includes data journalism, research and editorial analysis. Fluent in English, Somali, Oromo and Kiswahili, she brings strong regional knowledge and a data-driven approach to reporting on Africa’s evolving energy and sustainability landscape.